5-Year MTP & 11-Year Strategic Outlook
Forecasting GreenWind through 2041.
Driver-based 3-statement model running across 7 scenarios. Outputs are computed from the underlying assumptions (cascade losses, capture price, capex schedule) and the closing balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025.
Choose two scenarios to compare
Click any card to set primary scenario · Shift-click for comparison.
Primary
Comparison
Revenue · FY 2030
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EBITDA · FY 2030
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Cumul. NI · 2026-2041
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Net Debt · EoY 2041
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ND / EBITDA · 2030
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Peak Net Debt · year
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16-year trajectory
Revenue, EBITDA, Net Debt — primary scenario vs comparison.
Financing strategy timeline
Equity calls + RCF utilization (primary scenario)
Equity calls
RCF drawn
5-Step Cascade · Net CF by site
Industry-standard energy yield assessment (IEC 61400-15-2): production decomposed through wake, technical, availability and curtailment losses.
Scenario comparison · key milestones
Primary scenario figures with delta vs comparison at strategic checkpoints.
| Metric | 2028 | 2030 | 2035 | 2041 |
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Strategic insights
⚠ Model limitations & caveats
- Consolidation: arithmetic sum without IC eliminations. Intercompany loans (~€550M in 2030) and management fees (~€2-3M/yr) inflate Total Assets and Liabilities equally; EBITDA, Net Income and Net Debt are not affected.
- Balance sheet articulation: max gap of €24M on a €2.4Bn total balance sheet (~1%, below standard materiality threshold). Driven by timing of interest expense recognition.
- Working capital: AR/AP held flat from opening (no projected variation). Real-world WC would oscillate with revenue growth.
- Tax: applied at full statutory rate per entity on positive PBT. No tax loss carry-forwards, no deferred tax mechanics, no group fiscal integration.